Economics of apple-storage I: Comparative time series analysis of apple producer prices in Germany and Hungary

Fájlok
Dátum
2010-08-16
Folyóirat címe
Folyóirat ISSN
Kötet címe (évfolyam száma)
Kiadó
Absztrakt

Based on standard econometric methods the article analyses the time series of fresh apple producer prices in domestic markets of Germany and Hungary. In Germany, as a consequence of high storage capacities the quantity offered in different parts of the season is relatively stable, that’s why only a rather limited price increasing can be detected. In Hungary, as a consequence of the limited storage capacity this fluctuation is much more important. The modern methods of time series analysis (ARIMA models, stepwise regression) can be efficiently applied for forecasting of price movements.

Leírás
Kulcsszavak
seasonality, time series analysis, spectral analysis, ARIMA models
Forrás
International Journal of Horticultural Science, Vol. 16 No. 4 (2010) , 75-79.